AF Group
Insight

What’s in store for bulk gas this winter?

01 October 2025

With last year's supply issues in mind, AF Procurement Manager Patrick Crehan has been talking with AF supplier Calor. So, what's his outlook on your gas?

Market outlook 

I expect prices to rise significantly during October, in line with historic winter patterns.  

After that, prices are forecast to remain relatively steady from through to March.  

A small increase is predicted into January, traditionally the most expensive month for LPG. 

Information correct at 26.09.25 and subject to unknown geopolitical events which may affect prices. 

Delivery timescales 

Standard lead times below apply to bulk gas sites not on telemetry / autofill (unless you’ve already told us of a specific requirement for your site): 

  • Domestic, commercial and hospitality:14 days 

  • Grain drying: 3 days 

  • Poultry: 5 days.

Improved logistics 

To meet delivery timescales and ensure more reliable deliveries this year, Calor tell me they’ve introduced new driver routes, logistics and forecasting technology to get your orders right, first time.  

They've also recruited more full-time drivers to give you peace of mind that deliveries will happen when you need them to this winter.   

Better supply 

Calor’s parent company SHV has invested over £60 million into strategic storage at the Canvey Island terminal.  

It means they’re less reliant on third party supply points and more in control of the LPG available to meet your energy demand.  

Our AF advice 

If you manage your own stock levels (i.e. you not on auto-fill telemetry) order your top-up soon, before weather turns colder and prices start to climb. 

If you’re on telemetry Calor aims to fill tanks earlier than usual, prioritising anyone with less than 50%. 

To discuss your bulk gas requirements for winter, or to find out how much AF can save your business on other fuels, get in touch with your AF Fuels team.

Email: fuel@af.farm Call: 01603 881911

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